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‘Conjectures’ ruin MH370 book, says veteran

 | October 6, 2016

The only saving grace in the book, if at all, was the "decompression" theory, as there are too many conjectures.


KUALA LUMPUR: A local aviation industry veteran cautions against much being made of the book, “The Crash Detectives” by Christine Negroni on missing Malaysia Airlines Flight MH370.

The veteran who spoke on condition of anonymity said the only saving grace in the book, if at all, was the “decompression” theory. “There are too many conjectures in the book,” he said.

The way forward on MH370, he suggested, was to focus on the engineering records and carry out a forensic audit. “The book has also hinted in this direction.”

Focus on what kind of aircraft flew as MH370, he said. Patently, the design was 20 years old and had flaws. Boeing advised reinforcing the avionics bay section. He reckons this may not have been done but declines to hazard a guess why.

Apparently, that explains decompression.

The book should have focused on probabilities, he added, and eliminated them based on evidence, “not conjectures”.

He conceded the “decompression” theory was one probability, the only other one being something happening in the cockpit between the pilots. “It’s a Sherlock Holmes situation where every probability must be placed on the table.”

When it comes to probabilities, he explained, nothing must be disregarded “no matter how bizarre or far-fetched.

In the case of the missing plane, he continued, the aviation industry was in consensus the decompression theory only comes in if a fight between the two pilots can be ruled out.

“Only the cockpit voice recorder (CVR) — a black box — can tell us what happened in the cockpit,” said the veteran. “The flight data recorder (FDR) is the other black box in the cockpit.”

If the CVR rules out a fight between the two pilots, he said, “we can explore the decompression theory but not in the manner the author suggested”.

The veteran, based on the consensus in the aviation industry, said it would be inappropriate to blame the First Officer for not donning the oxygen mask first and not being quick enough at it.

“Tests in the decompression simulator room have proven that 80 per cent of pilots don’t don the oxygen mask first,” he recalled. “They are always doing something else first in the cockpit during an emergency.”

Watch the video below for Negroni’s theory.

Former WGN reporter, aviation journalist gives theory on disappearance of Malaysia Flight 370


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