SYDNEY: Asian stocks rebounded after US shares rallied with Treasury yields as investors saw the market reaction to Italy’s political turmoil as overdone. The dollar held losses and oil stabilized following gains.
The MSCI Asia Pacific Index of stocks bounced after touching its lowest level since February Wednesday amid heightened fears Italy could leave the euro. Financial shares on the regional benchmark advanced, boosted by US 10-year yields back above 2.84%. Energy shares led gains as West Texas crude surged above US$68 a barrel. The greenback was little changed after its biggest decline in nearly three weeks and the yen pushed higher.
While the slump in Italian bonds that spilt over into global risk assets has abated, the prospect of snap Italian elections — which could effectively become a referendum on the euro — continues to loom and the timing of any vote remains unclear. The concerns add to a growing list that includes the strength of the global economy, North Korea and simmering trade tensions.
“We are going to be filled with tremendous uncertainty over the course of the summer,” David Ader, chief macro strategist at Informa Financial Intelligence, told Bloomberg Television. “I don’t see that at this point in time we have a big directional play. I see a lot of uncertainty, which results in a lot of volatility.”
Traders will get some distraction from geopolitics and trade, with the US jobs report out on Friday, the last one before the Federal Reserve meets next month, when it’s expected to lift interest rates for the seventh time since the end of 2015. Morgan Stanley Chief Executive Officer James Gorman said the Fed is unlikely to be dissuaded from pursuing its path of monetary tightening as a result of recent volatility in financial markets.
Elsewhere, Italy’s 10-year yield retreated Wednesday after a successful bond auction and as politicians made a last-ditch attempt to form a government. China’s official factory gauge rose more than estimated in May while services also improved, signalling that the expansion remains robust even as debt curbs and trade tensions with the US cloud the outlook.
Terminal users can read more in Bloomberg’s Markets Live blog.
These are some key events to watch this week:
The US employment report for May is due Friday. It’s the last before the June Fed meeting. Automakers report May U.S. sales the same day. Also Friday: some onshore Chinese stocks join MSCI Inc.’s global indexes. On Saturday U.S. Secretary of Commerce Wilbur Ross will travel to Beijing for more talks with Vice Premier Liu He on topics including ZTE Corp. and trade.
These are the main moves in markets:
The Topix index rose 0.4% as of 10:50 a.m. in Tokyo. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 Index gained 0.4%. Kospi index rose 0.6%. Hang Seng Index climbed 0.5%. Futures on the S&P 500 Index dipped 0.1%. The S&P 500 rose 1.3% Wednesday, the most in more than three weeks. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index rose 0.6%.
The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index was flat. It fell 0.6% Wednesday, the largest decrease in almost three weeks. The Japanese yen rose 0.3% to 108.59 per dollar. The euro was steady at $1.1657, down less than 0.1%, after climbing 1.1%.
The yield on 10-year Treasuries fell one basis point to 2.84%. It jumped seven basis points on Wednesday. Australia’s 10-year bond yield was little changed at 2.64%. Italy’s 10-year yield sank 25 basis points to 2.92% Wednesday.
West Texas Intermediate crude fell 0.3% to US$68.02 a barrel. It jumped 2.2% Wednesday. Gold added 0.1% to US$1,302.12 an ounce.