PETALING JAYA: Global real estate technology group Juwai IQI believes the housing market will remain robust with moderate price increases and demand continuing to grow despite the raising of the overnight policy rate (OPR) by Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) recently.
Co-founder and group CEO Kashif Ansari said housing market indicators have been positive over the past three quarters with rising transaction volume and declining overhang.
“We are confident this positive trend will continue in the second quarter. Although the higher rates make purchasing and developing housing more expensive, we believe the real estate market can absorb this increase.
“For buyers, the higher mortgage is offset by improved household financial circumstances among many families,” he said in a statement today.
How the 25-basis-point OPR rise to 3% affects a typical homebuyer depends on their circumstances, he said.
For a RM500,000 mortgage at 3.5% and a remaining 20-year term, a 0.25% rise in interest rate would lead to an additional RM124 per month, the statement said.
The OPR rise would also increase borrowing cost for developers. “We could see a moderation in the number of projects being planned and those starting construction over the next six months.
“In 2022, construction started on 98,000 landed and high-rise residential units. By the end of the year, just over 89,000 units were in the pipeline for future construction,” said Kashif.
He also said BNM is determined to rein in inflation and ease the economy into a soft landing, balancing growth and inflation.
“Growth prospects are resilient, even with this latest rate rise, and growth will support the housing market,” he said.
The need to raise rates again, after BNM hit the pause button at its two previous Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meetings this year, underscores the fundamental strength of the economy in 2023.
“It is much better to have a strong economy and the need to raise rates to keep it from overheating than to have a sputtering economy that needs policy stimulus,” Kashif added.