PETALING JAYA: DAP election strategist Ong Kian Ming has no doubt that voters in Selangor will go with the Pakatan Harapan (PH) coalition in the next general election (GE14).
Recognising all the efforts by the Barisan Nasional (BN) to win back the state owing to its importance, particularly to several mega projects under the federal government, Ong said it will all come to naught.
“Many big-ticket infrastructure projects such as the East Coast Rail Line (ECRL), the High Speed Rail (HSR), the LRT and MRT projects, water projects and new toll roads, require the approval of the Selangor state government.
“Having a well-governed Pakatan Harapan (PH) state government on the doorstep of Putrajaya is also a headache for the BN because voters can compare and contrast the performance of the Selangor state government with other BN state governments as well as the Federal Government,” Ong said in a statement.
Ong, who is Serdang MP, summarised the simple rationale for his argument on why BN is expected to fail in Selangor.
“There is nothing in BN’s track record and leadership which indicates that voters in Selangor will reward it in GE14 especially when the best the BN can do is to parade out a line-up of three ex-menteris besar, one of whom was convicted of corruption and another who was found carrying a suitcase full of cash to Australia.
“The track record of the Selangor state government, while not perfect, has been positively felt by the voters in the state through many of the welfare programmes under the ‘Inisiatif Peduli Rakyat’ umbrella including free medical cards for low income families and individuals and free buses in each of the districts/municipalities in the state,” he said, adding that investments and jobs continue to pour into Selangor.
The higher access to information on alternative media and social media, and better education and income profiles will also contribute to voters going with PH, according to Ong.
On the basis of past performances and the voter track record in the state, Ong said Selangor recorded the most drastic change in voting patterns from general election to general election.
He attributed this volatile voting pattern down to the fact that Selangor voters are well informed.
“The BN support in Selangor increased from 54.8% to 72.4%, a massive spike, due to the high economic growth enjoyed by the country during the ‘East Asian’ miracle years from the early 1990s until just before the Asian economic crisis in 1997.
“Support for the BN in Selangor then fell to 54.8% during the 1999 Reformasi elections.
“It then increased to 62.8% in 2004 during the Pak Lah ‘tsunami’ before falling to 43.4% in the 2008 BN backlash elections and falling to 38.4% in the 2013 general election (GE13).”
Ong said this shows how voters in Selangor are the fastest to reward good performance and also the fastest to punish bad performance.
“All these reasons explain why most Selangor voters will vote practically, by rewarding the party or coalition which promises to give them what they want namely better governance that will keep the streets clean, deliver better welfare programmes, provide properly paved roads and improve the quality of life.
“These are also reasons why it is very possible for Pakatan Harapan (PH) to retain most of the seats which were won by Pakatan Rakyat in GE13 even in the case of three corner fights.”