PETALING JAYA: An MCA-linked think tank tonight predicted that Barisan Nasional would win the Tanjung Piai by-election tomorrow, beating the ruling coalition with a majority of over 7,000 votes.
Institute of Strategic Analysis and Policy Research (INSAP) said, based on interviews on the ground it had conducted over the past two weeks, over half of the respondents — both Malay and Chinese voters — indicated they will vote against Pakatan Harapan at the polls.
“But it is not so much that Tanjung Piai voters now love BN more. It is about voters falling out of love with PH,” INSAP deputy chairman Dr Pamela Yong said in a statement.
Yong also noted that Chinese voters made it clear that they will be voting for Wee Jeck Seng, rather than for BN itself, due to his contributions in his previous two terms as an MP in the constituency.
Wee, from the MCA, was Tanjung Piai’s elected representative from 2008 to 2018.
The Malay community, she said, would back the BN following the PAS-Umno pact and the historic charter signed between the country’s two biggest Malay-Muslim parties earlier this year.
Yong went on to say that based on its survey, Chinese support for BN would see an increase of 45% from the 32% garnered in the May 9 polls last year.
The support from the Malay community meanwhile would come to 70%.
“Based on INSAP’s current findings and its earlier survey, we predict that BN candidate Wee will win this by-election by a convincing margin and regain the seat he lost in GE14,” she said.
In the last general election, Dr Md Farid Md Rafik of PPBM beat Wee by 524 votes. Farid died on Sept 21 due to heart complications, triggering the by-election.
Wee is involved in a six-cornered fight involving Karmaine Sardini (PH), Wendy Subramaniam (Gerakan), Badhrulhisham Abdul Aziz (Berjasa) and two independents — Faridah Aryani Abdul Ghaffar and Ng Chuan Lock.
INSAP meanwhile predicted that Gerakan would secure around 700 votes, while the candidates from Berjasa and the two independents would win less than 200 votes.