Ringgit retreats as US Fed gets more hawkish

Ringgit retreats as US Fed gets more hawkish

Expect local note to continue trading on the weaker side, says analyst.

KUALA LUMPUR:
The ringgit continued its retreat against the US dollar as a more hawkish US Federal Reserve stance boosted demand for the greenback.

A minute after opening, the local note fell to 4.4735/4.4790 against the greenback from yesterday’s close of 4.4730/4.4780.

Bank Muamalat Malaysia Bhd head of economics, market analysis and social finance Mohd Afzanizam Abdul Rashid noted that the 10-year US Treasury yield has surpassed the 4% level, hovering at 4.06% currently.

“While the European economies continue to record higher inflation rate for the latest print at 8.5%, it still resulted in a strong US dollar.

“As such, the ringgit should trade on the weaker side,” he told Bernama.

SPI Asset Management managing director Stephen Innes said it has been a tough week for the Asian foreign exchange due to a more hawkish Fed narrative, with the market increasingly pricing in a higher terminal Fed funds rate.

He said as a consequence, higher US Treasury yields have taken a toll on the ringgit.

“The ringgit is now caught between misaligned macro drivers — a stronger China outlook and a persistently hawkish Fed.

“However, the restart of China data releases this week, where the PMI came in strong, alongside the likely pro-growth tone to the two-session policy event, should offer a better macro setup for Asian foreign exchange and the ringgit.

“For today, I expect the ringgit to trade in a tight range but may rise a tad stronger due to the China impulse. On the other hand, the hawkish Fed will likely provide a drag until US economic data turns lower,” he said.

Innes said the 10-year US Treasury yield was up by 8bps to 4.07%, the highest since Nov 9, 2022.

The ringgit traded higher against a basket of major currencies.

The local unit appreciated against the euro to 4.7468/4.7527 from 4.7539/4.7592 yesterday, improved against the Japanese yen to 3.2737/3.2780 from 3.2772/3.2813 and rose against the British pound to 5.3543/5.3609 from 5.3546/5.3606 previously.

The ringgit however traded lower against Asean currencies.

It decreased versus the Singapore dollar to 3.3238/3.3281 from 3.3210/3.3252 yesterday and depreciated vis-a-vis the Thai baht to 12.8697/12.8929 from 12.8583/12.8789.

The ringgit was flat against the Philippine peso at 8.13/8.17 from 8.13/8.14 and fell against the Indonesian rupiah at 292.70/293.20 from 292.60/293.20 yesterday.

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